Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 52% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 55%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Bristol City: 50 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season. Lincoln City: 50 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Bristol City's numbers over its games, Lincoln City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Bristol City's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 15 (62%). In Lincoln City's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 55% of games.
The two sides
Bristol City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 50 (50%). At home: 10 of its 24 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 15 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Bristol City's own 50 matches read: Bristol City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Bristol City itself held the lead in 12, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 24.
Lincoln City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). Away: 10 of its 25 (40%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 50 (42%); failed to score in 5 (10%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Lincoln City's own 50 matches read: Lincoln City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Lincoln City itself held the lead in 20, winning 18. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.
Built 07:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.