Wrexham v West Bromwich Albion

Championship, game week 10 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 46% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Wrexham: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. West Bromwich Albion: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Wrexham's numbers over its games, West Bromwich Albion's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Wrexham's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (46%). In West Bromwich Albion's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games.

The two sides

Wrexham -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 50 (64%). At home: 18 of its 24 (75%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Wrexham's own 50 matches read: Wrexham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). Wrexham itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 24.

West Bromwich Albion -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 34 (68%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). Away: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 16 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over West Bromwich Albion's own 50 matches read: West Bromwich Albion or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). West Bromwich Albion itself held the lead in 9, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.

Built 19:31 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.