Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 52% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 44%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Burnley: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the Premier League. Wolverhampton Wanderers: 47 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season in the Premier League.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Burnley's numbers over its games, Wolverhampton Wanderers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Burnley's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (42%). In Wolverhampton Wanderers's own 24 away matches read, 11 (46%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 44% of games.
The two sides
Burnley -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 48 (54%); over 1.5 in 42 (88%); over 3.5 in 21 (44%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 48 (65%). At home: 13 of its 24 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 5 of its own 48 (10%); failed to score in 14 (29%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Burnley's own 48 matches read: Burnley or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (58%). Burnley itself held the lead in 4, winning 4. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Wolverhampton Wanderers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 47 (49%); over 1.5 in 36 (77%); over 3.5 in 15 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 24 (46%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 47 (49%). Away: 10 of its 24 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 47 (13%); failed to score in 20 (43%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Wolverhampton Wanderers's own 47 matches read: Wolverhampton Wanderers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (53%). Wolverhampton Wanderers itself held the lead in 4, winning 4. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 24.
Built 19:31 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.