+0.88 points a game is the venue form gap, in Southampton's favour: Southampton takes 2.28 a game at home over the last two seasons, Bolton Wanderers 1.40 away.
Southampton: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Bolton Wanderers: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Southampton -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 5, drew 0, lost 0 of 5, scoring 16 and conceding 4. Last season at home: won 12, drew 6, lost 2 of 20, scoring 36 and conceding 16 -- 2.10 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Norwich City 1-0 away; beat Portsmouth 1-0 at home; lost to Wrexham 1-2 away; beat Bristol City 4-1 at home; beat Swansea City 3-1 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 5 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by William Still. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Bolton Wanderers -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 2, drew 1, lost 2 of 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Last season away in the League One: won 7, drew 7, lost 6 of 20, scoring 22 and conceding 23 -- 1.40 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-1 away; lost to Stoke City 1-2 at home; beat Norwich City 4-3 away; beat Cardiff City 1-0 at home; lost to West Ham United 2-3 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 20 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Steven Schumacher. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 03:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.