Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 55%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Swansea City: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. West Ham United: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the Premier League.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Swansea City's numbers over its games, West Ham United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Swansea City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (44%). In West Ham United's own 24 away matches read, 16 (67%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 55% of games.
The two sides
Swansea City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 15 of its own 50 (30%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Swansea City's own 50 matches read: Swansea City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Swansea City itself held the lead in 12, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
West Ham United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 48 (65%); over 1.5 in 43 (90%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 24 (62%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 48 (56%). Away: 13 of its 24 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 48 (21%); failed to score in 13 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over West Ham United's own 48 matches read: West Ham United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 29 (60%). West Ham United itself held the lead in 14, winning 11. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 16 of 24.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.