Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 62%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Wrexham: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Preston North End: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Wrexham's numbers over its games, Preston North End's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Wrexham's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (44%). In Preston North End's own 25 away matches read, 14 (56%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Wrexham -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 50 (64%). At home: 19 of its 25 (76%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Wrexham's own 50 matches read: Wrexham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (38%). Wrexham itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Preston North End -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 25 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 16 of its 25 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 50 (14%); failed to score in 15 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Preston North End's own 50 matches read: Preston North End or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (54%). Preston North End itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 25.
Built 03:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.