+1.72 points a game is the venue form gap, in Cardiff City's favour: Cardiff City takes 2.28 a game at home over the last two seasons, Burnley 0.56 away.
Cardiff City: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One. Burnley: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season in the Premier League.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Cardiff City -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 3, drew 4, lost 0 of 7, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Last season at home in the League One: won 14, drew 2, lost 2 of 18, scoring 40 and conceding 18 -- 2.44 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with West Ham United 3-3 at home; lost to Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-3 away; beat Birmingham City 1-0 at home; drew with Middlesbrough 2-2 away; beat Watford 5-1 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 23 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Brian Barry-Murphy. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Burnley -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 2, lost 4 of 7, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Last season away in the Premier League: won 2, drew 3, lost 13 of 18, scoring 20 and conceding 43 -- 0.50 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Queens Park Rangers 1-1 away; drew with Portsmouth 0-0 at home; lost to Lincoln City 1-4 away; lost to Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-2 at home; drew with Charlton Athletic 2-2 at home.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 4 different managers took its 46 matches with one recorded (32, 12, 1, 1 apiece), most recently Fabio Celestini with 1. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.