Charlton Athletic scores heaviest in the 61-75 spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Sheffield United scores heaviest in 46-60 and concedes heaviest in 46-60.
Charlton Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season. Sheffield United: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Charlton Athletic scores most in the 61-75 band (12 of 45); Charlton Athletic concedes most in the 31-45+ band (15 of 71); Sheffield United scores most in the 46-60 band (18 of 82); Sheffield United concedes most in the 46-60 band (15 of 67). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Charlton Athletic -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 0.9 and concedes 1.4 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 0.8 for and 1.2 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 45 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 10.
When it concedes
Of 71 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 14; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 11; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 13.
The first goal
Scored first in 20 of its 50 read -- then won 11, drew 5, lost 4; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 1 win and 8 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 11 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 4 of its 50 read, winning 3 of them; trailed by two in 13, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 9.
Sheffield United -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.5 for and 1.4 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 82 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 14; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 18; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 12.
When it concedes
Of 67 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 15; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 15. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 15 of 67 (22%).
The first goal
Scored first in 26 of its 50 read -- then won 15, drew 4, lost 7; conceded first in 21 -- pulled back 7 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 24 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 18 of its 50 read, winning 15 of them; trailed by two in 9, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 12.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.