Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 32%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
AFC Bournemouth: 39 league matches in the bank, 1 from this season and the rest from last season. Everton: 39 league matches in the bank, 1 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- AFC Bournemouth's numbers over its games, Everton's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In AFC Bournemouth's own 19 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (32%). In Everton's own 19 away matches read, 6 (32%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 32% of games.
The two sides
AFC Bournemouth -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 39 (56%); over 1.5 in 30 (77%); over 3.5 in 16 (41%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 19 (47%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 39 (67%). At home: 12 of its 19 (63%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 39 (28%); failed to score in 7 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over AFC Bournemouth's own 39 matches read: AFC Bournemouth or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (33%). AFC Bournemouth itself held the lead in 7, winning 5. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 19.
Everton -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 39 (44%); over 1.5 in 30 (77%); over 3.5 in 8 (21%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 19 (37%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 39 (49%). Away: 9 of its 19 (47%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 39 (31%); failed to score in 10 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Everton's own 39 matches read: Everton or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (44%). Everton itself held the lead in 9, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 19.
Built 06:36 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.