+0.32 points a game is the venue form gap, in Chelsea's favour: Chelsea takes 1.37 a game at home over the last two seasons, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.05 away.
Chelsea: 39 league matches in the bank, 1 from this season and the rest from last season. Brighton & Hove Albion: 39 league matches in the bank, 1 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Chelsea -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
No home game yet this season. Last season at home: won 7, drew 5, lost 7 of 19, scoring 26 and conceding 25 -- 1.37 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Fulham 3-2 away; lost to Sunderland 1-2 away; beat Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 at home; drew with Liverpool 1-1 away; lost to Nottingham Forest 1-3 at home. The last 4 of these are from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 4 different managers took its 37 matches with one recorded (17, 13, 6, 1 apiece), most recently Xabier Alonso Olano with 1. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Brighton & Hove Albion -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
No away game yet this season. Last season away: won 5, drew 5, lost 9 of 19, scoring 22 and conceding 26 -- 1.05 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Aston Villa 4-0 at home; lost to Manchester United 0-3 at home; lost to Leeds United 0-1 away; beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-0 at home; lost to Newcastle United 1-3 away. The last 4 of these are from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 39 matches with one recorded (38, 1 apiece), most recently Fabian Hürzeler with 38. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 06:33 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.