Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 49% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Sunderland: 39 league matches in the bank, 1 from this season and the rest from last season. Fulham: 39 league matches in the bank, 1 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Sunderland's numbers over its games, Fulham's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Sunderland's own 19 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (37%). In Fulham's own 19 away matches read, 11 (58%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games.
The two sides
Sunderland -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 39 (46%); over 1.5 in 28 (72%); over 3.5 in 7 (18%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 19 (47%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 39 (49%). At home: 9 of its 19 (47%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 39 (28%); failed to score in 13 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sunderland's own 39 matches read: Sunderland or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 15 (38%). Sunderland itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 19.
Fulham -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 39 (51%); over 1.5 in 28 (72%); over 3.5 in 10 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 19 (47%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 39 (54%). Away: 10 of its 19 (53%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 39 (23%); failed to score in 11 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fulham's own 39 matches read: Fulham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (46%). Fulham itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 19.
Built 06:33 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.