Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 58% of their games, both teams scoring in 64%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 43%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Ipswich Town: 48 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. Liverpool: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Ipswich Town's numbers over its games, Liverpool's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Ipswich Town's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (42%). In Liverpool's own 20 away matches read, 9 (45%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 43% of games.
The two sides
Ipswich Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 48 (54%); over 1.5 in 41 (85%); over 3.5 in 13 (27%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 48 (58%). At home: 13 of its 24 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 48 (35%); failed to score in 6 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Ipswich Town's own 48 matches read: Ipswich Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (50%). Ipswich Town itself held the lead in 16, winning 16. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Liverpool -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 40 (62%); over 1.5 in 34 (85%); over 3.5 in 13 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 20 (75%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 40 (70%). Away: 14 of its 20 (70%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 40 (25%); failed to score in 4 (10%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Liverpool's own 40 matches read: Liverpool or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (48%). Liverpool itself held the lead in 13, winning 12. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 20.
Built 07:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.