Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 52% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 40%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Fulham: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season. Crystal Palace: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Fulham's numbers over its games, Crystal Palace's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Fulham's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (35%). In Crystal Palace's own 20 away matches read, 9 (45%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 40% of games.
The two sides
Fulham -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 40 (50%); over 1.5 in 28 (70%); over 3.5 in 10 (25%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 20 (55%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 40 (52%). At home: 11 of its 20 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 40 (22%); failed to score in 12 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fulham's own 40 matches read: Fulham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (45%). Fulham itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 20.
Crystal Palace -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 40 (55%); over 1.5 in 29 (72%); over 3.5 in 9 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 20 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 40 (52%). Away: 10 of its 20 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 40 (30%); failed to score in 13 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Crystal Palace's own 40 matches read: Crystal Palace or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (40%). Crystal Palace itself held the lead in 5, winning 4. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 20.
Built 06:37 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.