-0.30 points a game is the venue form gap, in Tottenham Hotspur's favour: Nottingham Forest takes 1.00 a game at home over the last two seasons, Tottenham Hotspur 1.30 away.
Nottingham Forest: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season. Tottenham Hotspur: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Nottingham Forest -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1, scoring 0 and conceding 1. Last season at home: won 4, drew 8, lost 7 of 19, scoring 20 and conceding 23 -- 1.05 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Liverpool 2-2 away; lost to Leeds United 0-1 at home; drew with AFC Bournemouth 1-1 at home; lost to Manchester United 2-3 away; drew with Newcastle United 1-1 at home. The last 3 of these are from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 5 different managers took its 40 matches with one recorded (18, 12, 5, 3, 2 apiece), most recently Oliver Glasner with 2. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Tottenham Hotspur -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1, scoring 0 and conceding 3. Last season away: won 7, drew 5, lost 7 of 19, scoring 26 and conceding 26 -- 1.37 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Newcastle United 0-2 at home; lost to Brentford 0-3 away; beat Everton 1-0 at home; lost to Chelsea 1-2 away; drew with Leeds United 1-1 at home. The last 3 of these are from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 40 matches with one recorded (26, 9, 5 apiece), most recently Roberto De Zerbi with 9. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.