Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Nottingham Forest: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season. Tottenham Hotspur: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Nottingham Forest's numbers over its games, Tottenham Hotspur's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Nottingham Forest's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (40%). In Tottenham Hotspur's own 20 away matches read, 11 (55%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Nottingham Forest -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 40 (52%); over 1.5 in 32 (80%); over 3.5 in 11 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 20 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 40 (48%). At home: 9 of its 20 (45%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 40 (22%); failed to score in 15 (38%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Nottingham Forest's own 40 matches read: Nottingham Forest or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (50%). Nottingham Forest itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 20.
Tottenham Hotspur -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 40 (62%); over 1.5 in 33 (82%); over 3.5 in 10 (25%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 20 (65%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 40 (58%). Away: 10 of its 20 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 40 (22%); failed to score in 9 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Tottenham Hotspur's own 40 matches read: Tottenham Hotspur or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (50%). Tottenham Hotspur itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 20.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.