Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 56% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Coventry City: 49 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. Brighton & Hove Albion: 41 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Coventry City's numbers over its games, Brighton & Hove Albion's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Coventry City's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (54%). In Brighton & Hove Albion's own 20 away matches read, 10 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Coventry City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 49 (61%); over 1.5 in 39 (80%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 24 (62%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 49 (55%). At home: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 49 (35%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Coventry City's own 49 matches read: Coventry City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (51%). Coventry City itself held the lead in 19, winning 19. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Brighton & Hove Albion -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 41 (51%); over 1.5 in 34 (83%); over 3.5 in 9 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 20 (45%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 41 (56%). Away: 11 of its 20 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 41 (27%); failed to score in 9 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Brighton & Hove Albion's own 41 matches read: Brighton & Hove Albion or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (44%). Brighton & Hove Albion itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.
Built 06:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.