+0.14 points a game is the venue form gap, in Chelsea's favour: Chelsea takes 1.43 a game at home over the last two seasons, AFC Bournemouth 1.29 away.
Chelsea: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. AFC Bournemouth: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Chelsea -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 1, drew 1, lost 0 of 2, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Last season at home: won 7, drew 5, lost 7 of 19, scoring 26 and conceding 25 -- 1.37 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Brentford 0-3 away; drew with Hull City 2-2 at home; lost to Arsenal 1-2 away; beat Brighton & Hove Albion 4-3 at home; beat Fulham 3-2 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 4 different managers took its 41 matches with one recorded (17, 13, 6, 5 apiece), most recently Xabier Alonso Olano with 5. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
AFC Bournemouth -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 0, drew 1, lost 1 of 2, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Last season away: won 6, drew 8, lost 5 of 19, scoring 29 and conceding 34 -- 1.37 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Liverpool 0-1 at home; drew with Brentford 2-2 at home; drew with Newcastle United 2-2 away; drew with Everton 1-1 at home; lost to Manchester City 1-2 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 43 matches with one recorded (38, 5 apiece), most recently Marco Rose with 5. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 18:34 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.