Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 40%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Hull City: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. Everton: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Hull City's numbers over its games, Everton's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Hull City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (52%). In Everton's own 21 away matches read, 6 (29%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 40% of games.
The two sides
Hull City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 50 (32%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hull City's own 50 matches read: Hull City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (44%). Hull City itself held the lead in 14, winning 14. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.
Everton -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 43 (42%); over 1.5 in 32 (74%); over 3.5 in 9 (21%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 21 (33%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 43 (49%). Away: 10 of its 21 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 43 (33%); failed to score in 11 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Everton's own 43 matches read: Everton or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (40%). Everton itself held the lead in 9, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 21.
Built 14:36 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.