Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 60%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Manchester City: 44 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season. Ipswich Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Manchester City's numbers over its games, Ipswich Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester City's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (64%). In Ipswich Town's own 25 away matches read, 14 (56%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 60% of games.
The two sides
Manchester City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 44 (64%); over 1.5 in 37 (84%); over 3.5 in 10 (23%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 22 (73%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 44 (50%). At home: 11 of its 22 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 44 (43%); failed to score in 4 (9%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Manchester City's own 44 matches read: Manchester City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (52%). Manchester City itself held the lead in 20, winning 19. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 22.
Ipswich Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 50 (34%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Ipswich Town's own 50 matches read: Ipswich Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Ipswich Town itself held the lead in 16, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 25.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.