+0.50 points a game is the venue form gap, in AFC Bournemouth's favour: AFC Bournemouth takes 1.50 a game at home over the last two seasons, Sunderland 1.00 away.
AFC Bournemouth: 44 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season. Sunderland: 44 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
AFC Bournemouth -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 0, drew 2, lost 1 of 3, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Last season at home: won 7, drew 10, lost 2 of 19, scoring 29 and conceding 20 -- 1.63 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Chelsea 1-5 away; lost to Liverpool 0-1 at home; drew with Brentford 2-2 at home; drew with Newcastle United 2-2 away; drew with Everton 1-1 at home.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 44 matches with one recorded (38, 6 apiece), most recently Marco Rose with 6. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Sunderland -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 0, drew 1, lost 2 of 3, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Last season away: won 5, drew 6, lost 8 of 19, scoring 17 and conceding 28 -- 1.11 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 at home; lost to Manchester City 3-5 away; lost to Arsenal 0-2 at home; drew with Brentford 1-1 away; beat Fulham 1-0 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 44 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Régis Le Bris. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 07:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.