Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 34%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
AFC Bournemouth: 44 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season. Sunderland: 44 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- AFC Bournemouth's numbers over its games, Sunderland's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In AFC Bournemouth's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (27%). In Sunderland's own 22 away matches read, 9 (41%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 34% of games.
The two sides
AFC Bournemouth -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 44 (57%); over 1.5 in 34 (77%); over 3.5 in 19 (43%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 22 (45%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 44 (68%). At home: 14 of its 22 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 44 (25%); failed to score in 8 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over AFC Bournemouth's own 44 matches read: AFC Bournemouth or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 15 (34%). AFC Bournemouth itself held the lead in 8, winning 5. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 22.
Sunderland -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 44 (43%); over 1.5 in 32 (73%); over 3.5 in 8 (18%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 22 (45%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 44 (48%). Away: 12 of its 22 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 44 (27%); failed to score in 15 (34%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sunderland's own 44 matches read: Sunderland or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (41%). Sunderland itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 22.
Built 07:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.