Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 41%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Brighton & Hove Albion: 44 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season. Crystal Palace: 44 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Brighton & Hove Albion's numbers over its games, Crystal Palace's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Brighton & Hove Albion's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (41%). In Crystal Palace's own 22 away matches read, 9 (41%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 41% of games.
The two sides
Brighton & Hove Albion -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 44 (52%); over 1.5 in 37 (84%); over 3.5 in 10 (23%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 22 (59%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 44 (52%). At home: 12 of its 22 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 44 (32%); failed to score in 9 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Brighton & Hove Albion's own 44 matches read: Brighton & Hove Albion or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (48%). Brighton & Hove Albion itself held the lead in 14, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 22.
Crystal Palace -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 44 (57%); over 1.5 in 32 (73%); over 3.5 in 12 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 22 (59%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 44 (55%). Away: 11 of its 22 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 44 (30%); failed to score in 14 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Crystal Palace's own 44 matches read: Crystal Palace or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (39%). Crystal Palace itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 22.
Built 07:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.