Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 54%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Coventry City: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. Fulham: 45 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Coventry City's numbers over its games, Fulham's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Coventry City's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (58%). In Fulham's own 22 away matches read, 11 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 54% of games.
The two sides
Coventry City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 18 (36%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). At home: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 50 (34%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Coventry City's own 50 matches read: Coventry City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Coventry City itself held the lead in 18, winning 18. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 24.
Fulham -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 45 (49%); over 1.5 in 31 (69%); over 3.5 in 11 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 22 (45%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 45 (53%). Away: 11 of its 22 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 45 (24%); failed to score in 13 (29%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fulham's own 45 matches read: Fulham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (40%). Fulham itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 22.
Built 11:08 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.