+0.55 points a game is the venue form gap, in Liverpool's favour: Liverpool takes 1.73 a game at home over the last two seasons, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.18 away.
Liverpool: 45 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Brighton & Hove Albion: 45 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Liverpool -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 0, drew 2, lost 1 of 3, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Last season at home: won 10, drew 6, lost 3 of 19, scoring 34 and conceding 20 -- 1.89 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Brentford 2-1 away; lost to Manchester City 0-3 at home; beat AFC Bournemouth 1-0 away; drew with Fulham 0-0 at home; beat Ipswich Town 2-0 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 45 matches with one recorded (38, 7 apiece), most recently Andoni Iraola Sagarna with 7. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Brighton & Hove Albion -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 2, drew 0, lost 1 of 3, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Last season away: won 5, drew 5, lost 9 of 19, scoring 22 and conceding 26 -- 1.05 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Crystal Palace 5-0 at home; beat Sunderland 2-0 away; beat Arsenal 3-0 at home; beat Coventry City 5-0 away; drew with Leeds United 1-1 at home.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 45 matches with one recorded (44, 1 apiece), most recently Fabian Hürzeler with 44. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.