Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Coventry City: 50 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. Sunderland: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Coventry City's numbers over its games, Sunderland's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Coventry City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (56%). In Sunderland's own 23 away matches read, 10 (43%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Coventry City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 25 (64%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 50 (34%); failed to score in 11 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Coventry City's own 50 matches read: Coventry City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Coventry City itself held the lead in 18, winning 18. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 25.
Sunderland -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 46 (41%); over 1.5 in 33 (72%); over 3.5 in 8 (17%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 23 (43%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 46 (46%). Away: 12 of its 23 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 46 (28%); failed to score in 17 (37%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sunderland's own 46 matches read: Sunderland or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (41%). Sunderland itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 23.
Built 06:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.