+0.35 points a game is the venue form gap, in Newcastle United's favour: Newcastle United takes 1.61 a game at home over the last two seasons, Everton 1.26 away.
Newcastle United: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. Everton: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Newcastle United -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 1, drew 2, lost 1 of 4, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Last season at home: won 10, drew 2, lost 7 of 19, scoring 36 and conceding 30 -- 1.68 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Crystal Palace 2-0 away; lost to Aston Villa 0-1 at home; lost to Coventry City 1-4 away; beat Hull City 2-1 at home; lost to Leeds United 1-4 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 46 matches with one recorded (38, 8 apiece), most recently Matthias Jaissle with 8. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Everton -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 0, drew 3, lost 1 of 4, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Last season away: won 7, drew 5, lost 7 of 19, scoring 21 and conceding 23 -- 1.37 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Arsenal 0-2 away; lost to Chelsea 0-2 at home; drew with Hull City 2-2 away; beat Ipswich Town 1-0 at home; drew with Tottenham Hotspur 0-0 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 45 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by David Moyes. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 10:31 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.