Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Everton: 47 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Coventry City: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Everton's numbers over its games, Coventry City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Everton's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (52%). In Coventry City's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Everton -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 47 (40%); over 1.5 in 35 (74%); over 3.5 in 10 (21%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 23 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 47 (47%). At home: 11 of its 23 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 15 of its own 47 (32%); failed to score in 13 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Everton's own 47 matches read: Everton or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (40%). Everton itself held the lead in 9, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 23.
Coventry City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 18 (36%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). Away: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 50 (34%); failed to score in 11 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Coventry City's own 50 matches read: Coventry City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (54%). Coventry City itself held the lead in 19, winning 19. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.
Built 02:25 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.