Doncaster Rovers scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 61-75; Plymouth Argyle scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 46-60. The shapes mesh: Doncaster Rovers's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Plymouth Argyle is softest.
Doncaster Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Plymouth Argyle: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Doncaster Rovers scores most in the 46-60 band (13 of 54); Doncaster Rovers concedes most in the 61-75 band (19 of 74); Plymouth Argyle scores most in the 31-45+ band (17 of 79); Plymouth Argyle concedes most in the 46-60 band (14 of 69). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Doncaster Rovers -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.1 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.1 for and 1.3 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 54 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 8.
When it concedes
Of 74 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 15; 61-75: 19; 76-90+: 16.
The first goal
Scored first in 27 of its 50 read -- then won 15, drew 6, lost 6; conceded first in 20 -- pulled back 2 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 9 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 8 of its 50 read, winning 7 of them; trailed by two in 11, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 13.
Plymouth Argyle -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.7 for and 1.3 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 79 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 17; 46-60: 14; 61-75: 16; 76-90+: 13.
When it concedes
Of 69 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 14; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 13.
The first goal
Scored first in 26 of its 50 read -- then won 19, drew 4, lost 3; conceded first in 24 -- pulled back 4 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 16 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 12 of its 50 read, winning 12 of them; trailed by two in 13, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 7.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.