Doncaster Rovers v Plymouth Argyle

League One, game week 5 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Doncaster Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Plymouth Argyle: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Doncaster Rovers's numbers over its games, Plymouth Argyle's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Doncaster Rovers's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (40%). In Plymouth Argyle's own 25 away matches read, 15 (60%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.

The two sides

Doncaster Rovers -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 36 (72%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 15 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Doncaster Rovers's own 50 matches read: Doncaster Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (38%). Doncaster Rovers itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.

Plymouth Argyle -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 19 (38%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). Away: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Plymouth Argyle's own 50 matches read: Plymouth Argyle or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Plymouth Argyle itself held the lead in 12, winning 12. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 25.

Built 06:39 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.