Huddersfield Town v Notts County

League One, game week 5 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 41%. On the record this leans a goals match.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Huddersfield Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Notts County: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Huddersfield Town's numbers over its games, Notts County's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Huddersfield Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (48%). In Notts County's own 24 away matches read, 8 (33%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 41% of games.

The two sides

Huddersfield Town -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 21 (42%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 25 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). At home: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 7 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Huddersfield Town's own 50 matches read: Huddersfield Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Huddersfield Town itself held the lead in 15, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.

Notts County -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). Away: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 50 (32%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Notts County's own 50 matches read: Notts County or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (34%). Notts County itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24.

Built 06:39 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.