Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 44% of their games, both teams scoring in 47%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Cambridge United: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season in the League Two. AFC Wimbledon: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Cambridge United's numbers over its games, AFC Wimbledon's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Cambridge United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (46%). In AFC Wimbledon's own 24 away matches read, 12 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Cambridge United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 50 (40%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 7 (14%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). At home: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 50 (38%); failed to score in 11 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cambridge United's own 50 matches read: Cambridge United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Cambridge United itself held the lead in 15, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 24.
AFC Wimbledon -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 50 (48%); over 1.5 in 32 (64%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 50 (42%). Away: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 21 (42%).
Two goals clear
Counted over AFC Wimbledon's own 50 matches read: AFC Wimbledon or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (42%). AFC Wimbledon itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.
Built 00:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.