Sheffield Wednesday scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; AFC Wimbledon scores heaviest in 61-75 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+.
Sheffield Wednesday: 50 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. AFC Wimbledon: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Sheffield Wednesday scores most in the 46-60 band (9 of 41); Sheffield Wednesday concedes most in the 76-90+ band (20 of 88); AFC Wimbledon scores most in the 61-75 band (11 of 52); AFC Wimbledon concedes most in the 76-90+ band (20 of 79). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Sheffield Wednesday -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 0.8 and concedes 1.8 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 0.8 for and 1.7 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 41 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 6.
When it concedes
Of 88 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 15; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 14; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 16; 76-90+: 20. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 20 of 88 (23%).
The first goal
Scored first in 14 of its 50 read -- then won 5, drew 6, lost 3; conceded first in 31 -- pulled back 1 win and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 6 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 3 of its 50 read, winning 3 of them; trailed by two in 21, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 10.
AFC Wimbledon -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.0 and concedes 1.6 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.1 for and 1.9 against over 26.
When it scores
Of 52 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 11; 76-90+: 8.
When it concedes
Of 79 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 16; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 16; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 20. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 20 of 79 (25%).
The first goal
Scored first in 19 of its 50 read -- then won 11, drew 4, lost 4; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 4 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 15 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 6 of its 50 read, winning 6 of them; trailed by two in 14, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 10.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.