Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 48%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 43%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Sheffield Wednesday: 50 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship. AFC Wimbledon: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Sheffield Wednesday's numbers over its games, AFC Wimbledon's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Sheffield Wednesday's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (40%). In AFC Wimbledon's own 26 away matches read, 12 (46%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 43% of games.
The two sides
Sheffield Wednesday -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 50 (50%). At home: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 50 (12%); failed to score in 24 (48%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sheffield Wednesday's own 50 matches read: Sheffield Wednesday or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Sheffield Wednesday itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
AFC Wimbledon -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 33 (66%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 26 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 50 (46%). Away: 13 of its 26 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 20 (40%).
Two goals clear
Counted over AFC Wimbledon's own 50 matches read: AFC Wimbledon or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). AFC Wimbledon itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 26.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.