Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Cheltenham Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Grimsby Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Cheltenham Town's numbers over its games, Grimsby Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Cheltenham Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (48%). In Grimsby Town's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Cheltenham Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). At home: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 12 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cheltenham Town's own 50 matches read: Cheltenham Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Cheltenham Town itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.
Grimsby Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 50 (48%); over 1.5 in 34 (68%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 50 (52%). Away: 13 of its 25 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 18 of its own 50 (36%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Grimsby Town's own 50 matches read: Grimsby Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). Grimsby Town itself held the lead in 12, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.
Built 06:10 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.