Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 41% of their games, both teams scoring in 41%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 39%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Salford City: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Port Vale: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Salford City's numbers over its games, Port Vale's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Salford City's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (33%). In Port Vale's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 39% of games.
The two sides
Salford City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 31 (62%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 50 (46%). At home: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 15 of its own 50 (30%); failed to score in 16 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Salford City's own 50 matches read: Salford City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). Salford City itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24.
Port Vale -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 50 (38%); over 1.5 in 28 (56%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 50 (36%). Away: 9 of its 25 (36%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 26 (52%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Port Vale's own 50 matches read: Port Vale or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (32%). Port Vale itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Built 06:08 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.