Tranmere Rovers scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Oldham Athletic scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Tranmere Rovers's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Oldham Athletic is softest.
Tranmere Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Oldham Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Tranmere Rovers scores most in the 76-90+ band (16 of 61); Tranmere Rovers concedes most in the 76-90+ band (25 of 84); Oldham Athletic scores most in the 76-90+ band (14 of 67); Oldham Athletic concedes most in the 76-90+ band (12 of 47). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Tranmere Rovers -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.7 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.0 for and 1.6 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 61 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 15; 76-90+: 16. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 16 of 61 (26%).
When it concedes
Of 84 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 14; 76-90+: 25. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 25 of 84 (30%).
The first goal
Scored first in 19 of its 50 read -- then won 10, drew 5, lost 4; conceded first in 29 -- pulled back 1 win and 7 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 10 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 10 of its 50 read, winning 9 of them; trailed by two in 17, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 10.
Oldham Athletic -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.3 and concedes 0.9 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.3 for and 1.2 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 67 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 13; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 14 of 67 (21%).
When it concedes
Of 47 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 12. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 12 of 47 (26%).
The first goal
Scored first in 24 of its 50 read -- then won 19, drew 1, lost 4; conceded first in 20 -- pulled back 1 win and 8 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 11 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 13 of its 50 read, winning 13 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 7.
Built 06:10 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.