Tranmere Rovers v Oldham Athletic

League Two, game week 5 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 40%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Tranmere Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Oldham Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Tranmere Rovers's numbers over its games, Oldham Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Tranmere Rovers's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (52%). In Oldham Athletic's own 25 away matches read, 7 (28%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 40% of games.

The two sides

Tranmere Rovers -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 18 (36%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). At home: 13 of its 25 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 50 (18%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Tranmere Rovers's own 50 matches read: Tranmere Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (54%). Tranmere Rovers itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.

Oldham Athletic -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 50 (48%); over 1.5 in 34 (68%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 50 (44%). Away: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 50 (42%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Oldham Athletic's own 50 matches read: Oldham Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Oldham Athletic itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 25.

Built 06:10 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.