Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 60%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 32%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Cheltenham Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Chesterfield: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Cheltenham Town's numbers over its games, Chesterfield's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Cheltenham Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (48%). In Chesterfield's own 24 away matches read, 4 (17%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 32% of games.
The two sides
Cheltenham Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 18 (36%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). At home: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cheltenham Town's own 50 matches read: Cheltenham Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Cheltenham Town itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.
Chesterfield -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 50 (42%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). Away: 15 of its 24 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 15 of its own 50 (30%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Chesterfield's own 50 matches read: Chesterfield or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (32%). Chesterfield itself held the lead in 10, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 24.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.