Oldham Athletic v Salford City

League Two, game week 8 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 47% of their games, both teams scoring in 44%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Oldham Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Salford City: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Oldham Athletic's numbers over its games, Salford City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Oldham Athletic's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (42%). In Salford City's own 25 away matches read, 13 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games.

The two sides

Oldham Athletic -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 50 (48%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 50 (42%). At home: 9 of its 24 (38%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 50 (40%); failed to score in 14 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Oldham Athletic's own 50 matches read: Oldham Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (38%). Oldham Athletic itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.

Salford City -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 31 (62%); over 3.5 in 14 (28%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 50 (46%). Away: 13 of its 25 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 50 (32%); failed to score in 15 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Salford City's own 50 matches read: Salford City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (42%). Salford City itself held the lead in 12, winning 11. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.

Built 00:05 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.