+1.07 points a game is the venue form gap, in Colchester United's favour: Colchester United takes 1.79 a game at home over the last two seasons, Exeter City 0.72 away.
Colchester United: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Exeter City: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Colchester United -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 2, drew 2, lost 0 of 4, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Last season at home: won 10, drew 5, lost 5 of 20, scoring 33 and conceding 18 -- 1.75 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Newport County 0-1 away; drew with Shrewsbury Town 2-2 away; drew with Cheltenham Town 1-1 at home; drew with Crewe Alexandra 1-1 at home; lost to Swindon Town 1-3 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 22 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Danny Cowley. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Exeter City -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 0, lost 4 of 5, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Last season away in the League One: won 3, drew 6, lost 11 of 20, scoring 21 and conceding 29 -- 0.75 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Shrewsbury Town 1-0 away; beat Rotherham United 1-0 at home; lost to Bristol Rovers 0-1 away; drew with Tranmere Rovers 0-0 at home; lost to Port Vale 0-1 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 19 matches with one recorded (16, 3 apiece), most recently Matthew Taylor with 16. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 03:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.