Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 46% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 42%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Grimsby Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Northampton Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Grimsby Town's numbers over its games, Northampton Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Grimsby Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (44%). In Northampton Town's own 25 away matches read, 10 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 42% of games.
The two sides
Grimsby Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 50 (50%). At home: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 50 (38%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Grimsby Town's own 50 matches read: Grimsby Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Grimsby Town itself held the lead in 13, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Northampton Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 50 (42%); over 1.5 in 34 (68%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 50 (48%). Away: 11 of its 25 (44%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 20 (40%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Northampton Town's own 50 matches read: Northampton Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (42%). Northampton Town itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Built 03:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.