Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 52% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 51%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Oldham Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Cheltenham Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Oldham Athletic's numbers over its games, Cheltenham Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Oldham Athletic's own 26 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (42%). In Cheltenham Town's own 25 away matches read, 15 (60%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 51% of games.
The two sides
Oldham Athletic -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 50 (50%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 26 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 50 (42%). At home: 10 of its 26 (38%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 50 (40%); failed to score in 14 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Oldham Athletic's own 50 matches read: Oldham Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (40%). Oldham Athletic itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 26.
Cheltenham Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 43 (86%); over 3.5 in 18 (36%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cheltenham Town's own 50 matches read: Cheltenham Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (56%). Cheltenham Town itself held the lead in 9, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 25.
Built 03:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.