Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 67% of their games, both teams scoring in 62%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record this leans a goals match.
AFC Hornchurch: 5 league matches in the bank. Forest Green Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- AFC Hornchurch's numbers over its games, Forest Green Rovers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In AFC Hornchurch's own 2 home matches read, one appeared in 1 (50%). In Forest Green Rovers's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games.
The two sides
AFC Hornchurch -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 4 of its own 5 (80%); over 1.5 in 4 (80%); over 3.5 in 2 (40%). At home: over 2.5 in 1 of its 2 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 3 of its own 5 (60%). At home: 0 of its 2 (0%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 2 of its own 5 (40%); failed to score in 0 (0%).
Two goals clear
Counted over AFC Hornchurch's own 5 matches read: AFC Hornchurch or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 3 (60%). AFC Hornchurch itself held the lead in 2, winning 2. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 1 of 2.
Forest Green Rovers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 25 (44%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 50 (64%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Forest Green Rovers's own 50 matches read: Forest Green Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Forest Green Rovers itself held the lead in 16, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Built 06:10 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.