Gateshead scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Solihull Moors scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Solihull Moors's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Gateshead is softest.
Gateshead: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Solihull Moors: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Gateshead scores most in the 46-60 band (12 of 58); Gateshead concedes most in the 76-90+ band (26 of 95); Solihull Moors scores most in the 76-90+ band (16 of 74); Solihull Moors concedes most in the 76-90+ band (22 of 86). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Gateshead -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.9 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.1 for and 1.8 against over 24.
When it scores
Of 58 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 8.
When it concedes
Of 95 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 16; 16-30: 17; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 26. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 26 of 95 (27%).
The first goal
Scored first in 21 of its 50 read -- then won 13, drew 3, lost 5; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 2 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 11 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 9 of its 50 read, winning 9 of them; trailed by two in 24, rescuing 3 results; was ahead at some point without winning in 9.
Solihull Moors -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.5 and concedes 1.7 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.2 for and 1.5 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 74 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 14; 31-45+: 14; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 16. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 16 of 74 (22%).
When it concedes
Of 86 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 19; 61-75: 14; 76-90+: 22. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 22 of 86 (26%).
The first goal
Scored first in 25 of its 50 read -- then won 13, drew 7, lost 5; conceded first in 21 -- pulled back 1 win and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 7 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 13 of its 50 read, winning 10 of them; trailed by two in 16, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 13.
Built 06:10 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.