Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 64%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 40%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Tamworth: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Boston United: 50 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Tamworth's numbers over its games, Boston United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Tamworth's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (33%). In Boston United's own 24 away matches read, 11 (46%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 40% of games.
The two sides
Tamworth -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 19 (38%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 35 of its own 50 (70%). At home: 15 of its 24 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 50 (16%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Tamworth's own 50 matches read: Tamworth or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (38%). Tamworth itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24.
Boston United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). Away: 16 of its 24 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Boston United's own 50 matches read: Boston United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Boston United itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 24.
Built 06:10 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.