Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games, both teams scoring in 60%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 60%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Carlisle United: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season. Forest Green Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Carlisle United's numbers over its games, Forest Green Rovers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Carlisle United's own 26 home matches read, one appeared in 20 (77%). In Forest Green Rovers's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 60% of games.
The two sides
Carlisle United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 33 of its own 50 (66%); over 1.5 in 43 (86%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 19 of its 26 (73%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). At home: 14 of its 26 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 50 (32%); failed to score in 6 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Carlisle United's own 50 matches read: Carlisle United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 29 (58%). Carlisle United itself held the lead in 21, winning 20. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 20 of 26.
Forest Green Rovers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 50 (52%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). Away: 14 of its 25 (56%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 9 (18%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Forest Green Rovers's own 50 matches read: Forest Green Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Forest Green Rovers itself held the lead in 16, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Built 07:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.