Kidderminster Harriers v Gateshead

National League, game week 8 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 42%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Kidderminster Harriers: 7 league matches in the bank. Gateshead: 50 league matches in the bank, 7 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Kidderminster Harriers's numbers over its games, Gateshead's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Kidderminster Harriers's own 4 home matches read, one appeared in 1 (25%). In Gateshead's own 25 away matches read, 15 (60%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 42% of games.

The two sides

Kidderminster Harriers -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 3 of its own 7 (43%); over 1.5 in 6 (86%); over 3.5 in 2 (29%). At home: over 2.5 in 0 of its 4 (0%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 4 of its own 7 (57%). At home: 2 of its 4 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 2 of its own 7 (29%); failed to score in 1 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kidderminster Harriers's own 7 matches read: Kidderminster Harriers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 4 (57%). Kidderminster Harriers itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 1 of 4.

Gateshead -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 50 (64%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 19 of its 25 (76%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 50 (54%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 50 (14%); failed to score in 18 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Gateshead's own 50 matches read: Gateshead or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 32 (64%). Gateshead itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 25.

Built 07:03 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.