Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 57%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Carlisle United: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Woking: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Carlisle United's numbers over its games, Woking's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Carlisle United's own 26 home matches read, one appeared in 19 (73%). In Woking's own 25 away matches read, 10 (40%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 57% of games.
The two sides
Carlisle United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 42 (84%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 18 of its 26 (69%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). At home: 15 of its 26 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 15 of its own 50 (30%); failed to score in 7 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Carlisle United's own 50 matches read: Carlisle United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (54%). Carlisle United itself held the lead in 20, winning 19. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 19 of 26.
Woking -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 36 (72%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 50 (50%). Away: 11 of its 25 (44%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 16 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Woking's own 50 matches read: Woking or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (42%). Woking itself held the lead in 14, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.