Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 56% of their games, both teams scoring in 62%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 49%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Sutton United: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Forest Green Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Sutton United's numbers over its games, Forest Green Rovers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Sutton United's own 26 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (54%). In Forest Green Rovers's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 49% of games.
The two sides
Sutton United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). At home: over 2.5 in 17 of its 26 (65%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). At home: 17 of its 26 (65%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sutton United's own 50 matches read: Sutton United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Sutton United itself held the lead in 12, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 26.
Forest Green Rovers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 43 (86%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 33 of its own 50 (66%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Forest Green Rovers's own 50 matches read: Forest Green Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (50%). Forest Green Rovers itself held the lead in 16, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.