Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 70% of their games, both teams scoring in 69%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Worthing: 9 league matches in the bank. Halifax Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Worthing's numbers over its games, Halifax Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Worthing's own 5 home matches read, one appeared in 2 (40%). In Halifax Town's own 23 away matches read, 12 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games.
The two sides
Worthing -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 7 of its own 9 (78%); over 1.5 in 7 (78%); over 3.5 in 6 (67%). At home: over 2.5 in 3 of its 5 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 7 of its own 9 (78%). At home: 3 of its 5 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 2 of its own 9 (22%); failed to score in 0 (0%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Worthing's own 9 matches read: Worthing or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 4 (44%). Worthing itself held the lead in 2, winning 2. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 2 of 5.
Halifax Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 39 (78%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 23 (57%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). Away: 12 of its 23 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 7 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Halifax Town's own 50 matches read: Halifax Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Halifax Town itself held the lead in 12, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 23.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.